Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | VAN +145 LSU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +14 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -5.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -4.8 (-9.2) | 146.1 (-10.1) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -4.1 (-9.9) | 146.5 (-10.5) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -4.3 (-9.7) | 145.0 (-9.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -4.8 (-9.2) | 145.6 (-9.6) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | VAN 84 – 73 LSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | VAN 80 – 72 LSU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | LSU 77 – 69 VAN |
| Mar 10, 2023 | VAN 77 – 68 LSU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | LSU 84 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#200) | 6.6 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#213) | 1.24 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#227) | 1.45 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#250) | 0.539 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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