Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SHU +190 MRST -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +4 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | MRST -8.4 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -6.8 (+2.8) | 134.6 (+13.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -7.9 (+3.9) | 131.9 (+16.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -7.3 (+3.3) | 133.1 (+14.9) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -8.7 (+4.7) | 134.7 (+13.3) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MRST 65 – 63 SHU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SHU 67 – 54 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-13 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 63.9 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#303) | 2.8 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#303) | -0.22 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#284) | -0.18 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#319) | 0.498 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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