Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -120 MRST +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +13 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -0.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -0.5 (+12.5) | 139.4 (-18.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -0.6 (+12.4) | 140.0 (-19.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -0.1 (+12.9) | 141.2 (-20.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -0.2 (+12.8) | 141.9 (-20.9) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MRST 65 – 63 SHU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MRST 76 – 72 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 20-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 64.5 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#270) | -4.0 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#268) | 0.37 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#274) | -0.09 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#251) | 0.525 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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