Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MRST -395 SHU +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +2 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -11.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -8.3 (-6.3) | 141.9 (-13.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -9.2 (-7.2) | 138.7 (-10.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -9.4 (-7.4) | 140.4 (-12.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -9.9 (-7.9) | 140.8 (-12.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | MRST 76 – 72 SHU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SHU 67 – 54 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#175) | -8.7 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#190) | -1.24 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#190) | -1.51 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#168) | 0.467 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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