I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–12 on winners spread MAE 7.6 47 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Texas Tech @ Colorado -4.7 156.3 21% 73–71 ✓
San Diego @ Pacific +7.3 142.7 79% 70–77 ✓
Southern @ Florida A&M -0.3 150.1 46% 59–67 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State +3.2 144.1 63% 75–81 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton +2.5 165.7 59% 79–86 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Lamar +0.9 136.5 53% 51–63 ✓
Campbell @ Elon +5.4 155.7 70% 82–83 ✓
Texas @ Alabama +11.0 172.5 82% 92–88 ✗
San Francisco @ Pepperdine -7.8 137.4 23% 80–60 ✓
Oregon State @ Portland -0.1 141.7 54% 76–82 ✗
Maryland @ UCLA +12.4 146.3 84% 55–67 ✓
San José State @ Grand Canyon +12.2 136.6 87% 58–76 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Oral Roberts -7.7 144.1 21% 82–71 ✓
North Dakota @ Kansas City +0.3 145.2 46% 81–79 ✗
UC San Diego @ UC Riverside -10.8 144.6 17% 69–66 ✓
Weber State @ Northern Colorado +6.3 159.0 80% 76–71 ✗
Idaho State @ Northern Arizona -5.5 137.6 31% 81–79 ✓
Southern Utah @ California Baptist +14.3 145.1 88% 55–58 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ New Mexico State +1.9 140.5 62% 59–55 ✗
Mississippi State @ Kentucky +10.5 152.8 83% 68–92 ✓
UT Martin @ Southern Indiana -6.3 136.3 22% 73–56 ✓
Utah State @ Boise State -1.3 145.8 49% 93–68 ✓
Wyoming @ Nevada +3.5 142.6 69% 83–92 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Santa Clara +12.7 147.1 87% 72–103 ✓
BYU @ Utah -13.9 157.5 14% 89–84 ✓
Fresno State @ San Diego State +12.4 145.4 86% 52–71 ✓
UC Irvine @ Hawai'i +4.8 138.6 67% 66–67 ✓
Illinois @ Iowa +1.2 137.8 49% 75–69 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Richmond +8.9 151.2 83% 67–65 ✗
Memphis @ Florida Atlantic +2.4 144.4 65% 78–89 ✓
Cleveland State @ Detroit Mercy +6.4 153.4 75% 84–94 ✓
Canisius @ Iona +10.3 141.8 86% 48–74 ✓
Charlotte @ Rice -2.2 141.1 44% 74–73 ✓
UAB @ East Carolina -9.9 144.9 18% 87–85 ✓
Merrimack @ Saint Peter's +1.4 134.0 62% 63–76 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Sacred Heart -4.8 149.5 31% 70–60 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Green Bay -0.8 145.5 48% 78–80 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Robert Morris +5.9 141.9 72% 79–74 ✗
Siena @ Mount St. Mary's -3.3 134.0 31% 67–50 ✓
Marist @ Rider -13.1 130.3 13% 71–49 ✓
Niagara @ Manhattan +6.2 138.3 79% 70–79 ✓
North Texas @ Wichita State +7.2 130.6 74% 67–78 ✓
Wright State @ Oakland +3.3 156.2 66% 94–84 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Milwaukee +11.3 156.4 85% 83–95 ✓
Cincinnati @ UCF +7.7 143.3 78% 72–73 ✓
Northwestern @ Rutgers -4.7 140.8 35% 75–77 ✗
Ohio State @ Washington +1.4 148.4 57% 74–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.