Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | ORU +310 STMN -395 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +11 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | STMN -6.3 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -7.7 (-3.3) | 144.1 (+8.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -6.2 (-4.8) | 142.6 (+10.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -6.4 (-4.6) | 143.5 (+9.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -6.2 (-4.8) | 143.3 (+9.7) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | STMN 92 – 75 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | ORU 71 – 66 STMN |
| Jan 30, 2025 | STMN 86 – 71 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | STMN 85 – 63 ORU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | STMN 87 – 76 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 12-4 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-1 |
| Away | 1-13 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#271) | 2.8 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#299) | 0.82 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#283) | 0.81 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#294) | 0.539 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 50.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 57.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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