Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | ORU +320 STMN -425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +5 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -9.9 (+14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.5 (-25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -8.0 (+13.0) | 156.0 (-19.0) | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -7.7 (+12.7) | 155.9 (-18.9) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -8.1 (+13.1) | 156.8 (-19.8) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -8.2 (+13.2) | 157.7 (-20.7) | 22% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | STMN 92 – 75 ORU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | STMN 82 – 71 ORU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | STMN 86 – 71 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | STMN 85 – 63 ORU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | STMN 87 – 76 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 12-4 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-0 |
| Away | 0-15 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.0 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#321) | 3.1 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#347) | 0.68 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.81 (#340) | 0.67 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#350) | 0.535 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 58.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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