Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | STMN -1600 ORU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +17 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -17.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -16.4 (+0.6) | 149.2 (+17.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -16.9 (+0.1) | 147.1 (+19.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -17.2 (-0.2) | 147.6 (+19.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -16.7 (+0.3) | 150.3 (+16.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | STMN 82 – 71 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | ORU 71 – 66 STMN |
| Jan 30, 2025 | STMN 86 – 71 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | STMN 85 – 63 ORU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | STMN 87 – 76 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 4-12 |
| Home | 14-1 | 7-8 |
| Away | 8-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#113) | -10.9 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#106) | -2.32 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#105) | -2.82 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#105) | 0.403 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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