Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | STMN -275 ORU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +22 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -7.7 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -5.8 (+16.2) | 139.4 (+8.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -5.5 (+16.5) | 137.2 (+10.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -5.1 (+16.9) | 140.0 (+8.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -4.9 (+17.1) | 141.5 (+6.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | STMN 92 – 75 ORU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | STMN 82 – 71 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | ORU 71 – 66 STMN |
| Jan 30, 2025 | STMN 86 – 71 ORU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | STMN 87 – 76 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 5-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#140) | -2.4 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#189) | -0.50 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#161) | -0.69 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#203) | 0.471 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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