Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | STMN -1400 ORU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +15 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -17.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -14.3 (+0.7) | 158.1 (-1.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -14.7 (+0.3) | 155.7 (+1.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -13.6 (+1.4) | 156.8 (+0.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -14.3 (+0.7) | 158.9 (-1.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | STMN 92 – 75 ORU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | STMN 82 – 71 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | ORU 71 – 66 STMN |
| Feb 9, 2024 | STMN 85 – 63 ORU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | STMN 87 – 76 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 3-13 |
| Home | 14-0 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 82.0 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#108) | -10.7 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#102) | -2.55 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#105) | -2.96 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#109) | 0.378 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.2% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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