Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | PEPP +295 SF -375 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +20 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | SF -7.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -7.6 (-12.4) | 136.3 (+3.7) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -7.8 (-12.2) | 137.4 (+2.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -7.4 (-12.6) | 134.6 (+5.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -8.0 (-12.0) | 135.5 (+4.5) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2025 | SF 80 – 63 PEPP |
| Feb 25, 2024 | SF 92 – 68 PEPP |
| Feb 9, 2024 | SF 80 – 74 PEPP |
| Feb 12, 2023 | SF 88 – 80 PEPP |
| Feb 11, 2022 | SF 105 – 61 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-10 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#267) | 3.8 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#287) | 0.77 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#270) | 1.23 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#306) | 0.533 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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