Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | GCU -1650 SJSU +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +18 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -14.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -12.9 (+5.1) | 139.5 (-5.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GCU -12.2 (+5.8) | 136.6 (-2.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | GCU -11.9 (+6.1) | 137.6 (-3.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -12.7 (+5.3) | 137.1 (-3.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | GCU 94 – 79 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 3-17 |
| Home | 13-4 | 6-10 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#95) | -3.9 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#88) | -1.03 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#87) | -1.29 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#105) | 0.467 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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