Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | PAC -410 USD +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | PAC -9.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -7.8 (-0.8) | 144.0 (+3.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -7.3 (-0.3) | 142.7 (+4.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -7.5 (-0.5) | 143.5 (+3.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -7.7 (-0.7) | 144.6 (+2.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 28, 2025 | USD 66 – 54 PAC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | USD 81 – 77 PAC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | PAC 71 – 69 USD |
| Dec 31, 2024 | USD 75 – 65 PAC |
| Mar 3, 2024 | USD 81 – 69 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#128) | -3.4 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#151) | -0.58 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#133) | -0.79 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#142) | 0.455 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 61.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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