Betting Lines
| Spread | USD -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | USD -600 PAC +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +12 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | USD -13.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -13.6 (-1.6) | 152.8 (-2.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USD -9.5 (+2.5) | 151.3 (-1.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -12.2 (-0.2) | 151.8 (-1.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USD -11.9 (+0.1) | 152.9 (-2.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | PAC 77 – 70 USD |
| Dec 28, 2025 | USD 66 – 54 PAC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | USD 81 – 77 PAC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | PAC 71 – 69 USD |
| Dec 31, 2024 | USD 75 – 65 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 0-16 |
| Home | 12-6 | 5-12 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L23 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 81.4 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#270) | -15.6 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#166) | -2.34 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#182) | -3.06 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#203) | 0.390 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 26.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 18.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.