Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 177.5 Over |
| Money | ALA -800 TEX +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +4 | 180 | Lost |
| Massey | ALA -12.4 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 180.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -13.7 (-17.7) | 173.0 (+7.0) | 83% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ALA -11.0 (-15.0) | 172.5 (+7.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | ALA -12.3 (-16.3) | 169.1 (+10.9) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -12.6 (-16.6) | 169.1 (+10.9) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2025 | ALA 103 – 80 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.2 | 81.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.7 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 19.9 (#12) | 11.0 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.60 (#13) | 0.50 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.97 (#13) | 1.19 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.661 (#10) | 0.481 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 36.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.