Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | UNCO -270 WEB +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -5.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -5.7 (-10.7) | 161.0 (-14.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -6.3 (-11.3) | 159.0 (-12.0) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -4.8 (-9.8) | 158.5 (-11.5) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -5.0 (-10.0) | 158.7 (-11.7) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UNCO 88 – 74 WEB |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UNCO 76 – 52 WEB |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UNCO 68 – 63 WEB |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UNCO 89 – 72 WEB |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WEB 85 – 81 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#144) | -0.3 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#125) | -0.63 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#132) | -0.49 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#140) | 0.461 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.3% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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