Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -200 UNCO +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +4 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -7.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -5.6 (-1.6) | 151.2 (+14.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -4.6 (-0.6) | 146.7 (+19.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -5.4 (-1.4) | 150.6 (+15.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -5.2 (-1.2) | 152.3 (+13.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UNCO 88 – 74 WEB |
| Jan 11, 2026 | WEB 76 – 71 UNCO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UNCO 76 – 52 WEB |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UNCO 68 – 63 WEB |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UNCO 89 – 72 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 7-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#133) | -2.1 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#130) | 0.02 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#133) | -0.10 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#117) | 0.499 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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