Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UNCO -900 WEB +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +24 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -9.6 (+14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -8.5 (+15.5) | 145.1 (-17.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -7.4 (+16.6) | 143.0 (-15.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -9.0 (+15.0) | 144.5 (-16.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -8.7 (+15.3) | 145.4 (-17.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UNCO 88 – 74 WEB |
| Jan 11, 2026 | WEB 76 – 71 UNCO |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UNCO 68 – 63 WEB |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UNCO 89 – 72 WEB |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WEB 85 – 81 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-2 | 5-10 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#131) | -7.7 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#123) | -1.62 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#118) | -1.96 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#117) | 0.435 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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