Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | WEB +102 UNCO -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +14 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -1.7 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -1.1 (-15.1) | 160.7 (+1.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -0.0 (-14.0) | 157.4 (+4.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -1.1 (-15.1) | 157.1 (+4.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -0.6 (-14.6) | 159.0 (+3.0) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | WEB 76 – 71 UNCO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UNCO 76 – 52 WEB |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UNCO 68 – 63 WEB |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UNCO 89 – 72 WEB |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WEB 85 – 81 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#195) | -0.4 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#236) | -0.39 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#222) | -0.36 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#255) | 0.467 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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