Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -280 WEB +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +17 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -10.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -8.1 (+8.9) | 151.8 (+9.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -7.0 (+10.0) | 148.4 (+12.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -7.6 (+9.4) | 150.2 (+10.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -7.6 (+9.4) | 150.6 (+10.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UNCO 88 – 74 WEB |
| Jan 11, 2026 | WEB 76 – 71 UNCO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UNCO 76 – 52 WEB |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UNCO 68 – 63 WEB |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WEB 85 – 81 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-2 | 5-10 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#138) | -4.9 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#135) | -1.07 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#135) | -1.30 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#143) | 0.464 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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