Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | WEB +225 UNCO -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +5 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -6.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -5.6 (+0.6) | 148.8 (-17.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -6.1 (+1.1) | 146.9 (-15.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -5.9 (+0.9) | 148.0 (-17.0) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -6.1 (+1.1) | 149.4 (-18.4) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UNCO 88 – 74 WEB |
| Jan 11, 2026 | WEB 76 – 71 UNCO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UNCO 76 – 52 WEB |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UNCO 89 – 72 WEB |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WEB 85 – 81 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-22 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 5-10 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#289) | 2.0 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#313) | 0.57 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#308) | 0.69 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#301) | 0.529 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 50.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 57.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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