I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Big Sky Conference · Dee Events Center · March 4, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UNCO -6.5 Home covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money WEB +225 / UNCO -275
Model Predictions
Spread Total WEB win
Actual UNCO +5 131 Lost
Massey UNCO -6.5 (+1.5)
Massey Totals 153.3 (-22.3)
Bradley-Terry 17%
Weighted B-T 12%
Efficiency Plus ML UNCO -6.1 (+1.1) 146.9 (-15.9) 28%
Baseline Tuned ML UNCO -5.9 (+0.9) 148.0 (-17.0) 25%
Baseline ML UNCO -6.1 (+1.1) 149.4 (-18.4) 27%
Baseline Plus ML UNCO -5.6 (+0.6) 148.8 (-17.8) 24%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 UNCO 8874 WEB
Jan 11, 2026 WEB 7671 UNCO
Mar 9, 2025 UNCO 7652 WEB
Jan 3, 2025 UNCO 8972 WEB
Mar 1, 2024 WEB 8581 UNCO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WEB UNCO
Overall 12-22 25-10
Conference 5-13 15-3
Home 5-10 13-2
Away 4-11 9-7
Neutral 3-1 3-1
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 67.9 79.4
Avg Pts Against 74.4 74.5
Massey -7.7 (#289) 2.0 (#128)
Bradley-Terry -1.58 (#313) 0.57 (#121)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.95 (#308) 0.69 (#116)
RPI 0.438 (#301) 0.529 (#123)
Shooting & Four Factors WEB UNCO
FG% 44.2% 50.6%
3PT% 32.0% 36.5%
REB / G 31.6 33.3
OREB / G 8.4 7.7
AST / TO 0.93 1.44
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.2% 57.5%
TOV% 17.0% 15.4%
ORB% 25.3% 24.6%
FT Rate 23.9% 24.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.5% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 15.3%
DRB% 69.4% 77.1%
Opp FT Rate 27.4% 25.2%

Game Analysis

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