Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Horizon League · Calihan Hall · January 11, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread DETM -6.5 Home covered
O/U 162.5 Over
Money DETM -278 / CLE +225
Model Predictions
Spread Total DETM win
Actual DETM +10 178 Won
Massey DETM -9.3 (+0.7) — —
Massey Totals — 165.2 (+12.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 86% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 90% ✓
Baseline Plus ML DETM -7.9 (+2.1) 154.5 (+23.5) 82% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DETM -6.4 (+3.6) 153.4 (+24.6) 75% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML DETM -7.9 (+2.1) 152.7 (+25.3) 80% ✓
Baseline ML DETM -7.6 (+2.4) 153.8 (+24.2) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 6, 2025 DETM 71 – 59 CLE
Feb 22, 2025 CLE 73 – 65 DETM
Jan 23, 2025 CLE 65 – 50 DETM
Feb 2, 2024 CLE 77 – 65 DETM
Dec 2, 2023 CLE 69 – 58 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DETM CLE
Overall 17-15 11-22
Conference 12-8 6-14
Home 9-5 7-8
Away 7-9 3-13
Neutral 1-1 1-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.3 78.6
Avg Pts Against 78.7 88.6
Massey -7.1 (#276) -13.0 (#338)
Bradley-Terry -1.23 (#271) -2.40 (#335)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.51 (#267) -3.05 (#334)
RPI 0.434 (#289) 0.377 (#348)
Shooting & Four Factors DETM CLE
FG% 41.8% 42.5%
3PT% 30.3% 36.1%
REB / G 36.8 33.1
OREB / G 13.1 10.6
AST / TO 1.05 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.7% 51.2%
TOV% 16.4% 19.8%
ORB% 33.9% 30.8%
FT Rate 24.9% 29.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.0% 55.3%
Opp TOV% 14.8% 14.4%
DRB% 67.2% 60.9%
Opp FT Rate 29.9% 25.8%

Game Analysis

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