Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | DETM -278 CLE +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +10 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | DETM -9.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -6.4 (+3.6) | 153.4 (+24.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -7.9 (+2.1) | 152.7 (+25.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -7.6 (+2.4) | 153.8 (+24.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -7.9 (+2.1) | 154.5 (+23.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | DETM 71 – 59 CLE |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CLE 73 – 65 DETM |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CLE 65 – 50 DETM |
| Feb 2, 2024 | CLE 77 – 65 DETM |
| Dec 2, 2023 | CLE 69 – 58 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 88.6 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#276) | -13.0 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#271) | -2.40 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#267) | -3.05 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#289) | 0.377 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 60.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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