Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | CLE -115 DETM -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +12 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | CLE -1.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.0 (-41.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -1.8 (-13.8) | 156.2 (-26.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -0.6 (-11.4) | 154.4 (-24.4) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -0.1 (-12.1) | 155.0 (-25.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -1.0 (-11.0) | 154.8 (-24.8) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | DETM 94 – 84 CLE |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CLE 73 – 65 DETM |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CLE 65 – 50 DETM |
| Feb 2, 2024 | CLE 77 – 65 DETM |
| Dec 2, 2023 | CLE 69 – 58 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 88.6 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#331) | -8.9 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.93 (#343) | -1.18 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.53 (#345) | -1.57 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#306) | 0.453 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.7% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 59.8% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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