Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | CLE -800 DETM +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +11 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -15.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -10.3 (+0.7) | 137.0 (-10.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -10.2 (+0.8) | 137.2 (-10.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -9.0 (+2.0) | 139.7 (-12.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -9.8 (+1.2) | 140.2 (-13.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | DETM 94 – 84 CLE |
| Dec 6, 2025 | DETM 71 – 59 CLE |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CLE 73 – 65 DETM |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CLE 65 – 50 DETM |
| Feb 2, 2024 | CLE 77 – 65 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 1-31 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 1-19 |
| Home | 14-3 | 1-11 |
| Away | 6-10 | 0-20 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 80.2 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#199) | -10.2 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#130) | -2.53 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#145) | -3.34 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#156) | 0.435 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 60.8% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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