Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | CLE -1600 DETM +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +15 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -13.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -11.9 (+3.1) | 137.9 (-22.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -11.5 (+3.5) | 137.9 (-22.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -11.5 (+3.5) | 138.4 (-23.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -11.5 (+3.5) | 138.7 (-23.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | DETM 94 – 84 CLE |
| Dec 6, 2025 | DETM 71 – 59 CLE |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CLE 73 – 65 DETM |
| Feb 2, 2024 | CLE 77 – 65 DETM |
| Dec 2, 2023 | CLE 69 – 58 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 4-16 |
| Home | 14-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-7 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#174) | -10.5 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#123) | -1.24 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#131) | -2.01 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#136) | 0.444 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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