Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -375 UNT +295 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +11 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -9.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -7.2 (+3.8) | 130.6 (+14.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -7.3 (+3.7) | 132.1 (+12.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -7.5 (+3.5) | 130.2 (+14.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -9.0 (+2.0) | 131.2 (+13.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2025 | UNT 68 – 66 WICH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UNT 58 – 54 WICH |
| Jan 5, 2024 | UNT 74 – 62 WICH |
| Dec 18, 2021 | UNT 62 – 52 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#90) | 0.6 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#171) | 0.37 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#146) | 0.45 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#172) | 0.500 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 39.9% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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