I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
Charles Koch Arena · December 18, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WICH -4.0 Away covered
O/U 118.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total WICH win
Actual UNT +10 114 Lost
Massey WICH -6.3 (-16.3)
Massey Totals 109.7 (+4.3)
Bradley-Terry 91%
Weighted B-T 94%
Efficiency Plus ML WICH -5.6 (-15.6) 125.5 (-11.5) 63%
Baseline Tuned ML WICH -7.8 (-17.8) 125.3 (-11.3) 76%
Baseline ML WICH -7.4 (-17.4) 124.9 (-10.9) 70%
Baseline Plus ML WICH -6.2 (-16.2) 126.7 (-12.7) 70%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 11, 2026 WICH 7867 UNT
Mar 4, 2025 UNT 6866 WICH
Jan 30, 2025 UNT 5854 WICH
Jan 5, 2024 UNT 7462 WICH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WICH UNT
Neutral 1-2 3-3
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Massey 6.4 (#74) 4.7 (#97)
Bradley-Terry 2.04 (#47) 0.53 (#135)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.62 (#50) 0.95 (#116)
RPI 0.601 (#41) 0.524 (#131)
Shooting & Four Factors WICH UNT
FG% 40.8% 40.7%
3PT% 31.1% 30.4%
REB / G 36.4 31.6
OREB / G 11.3 9.1
AST / TO 0.93 1.04
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.2% 47.8%
TOV% 19.9% 17.6%
ORB% 31.0% 28.1%
FT Rate 21.5% 24.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.7% 49.9%
Opp TOV% 23.1% 21.8%
DRB% 72.8% 75.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.0% 18.7%

Game Analysis

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