Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
| Money | WICH -120 UNT +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +12 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -0.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -0.9 (-11.1) | 132.4 (+3.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -0.6 (-12.6) | 132.0 (+4.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -0.8 (-12.8) | 131.7 (+4.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -0.6 (-12.6) | 130.2 (+5.8) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | WICH 78 – 67 UNT |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UNT 68 – 66 WICH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UNT 58 – 54 WICH |
| Dec 18, 2021 | UNT 62 – 52 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 64.4 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#133) | 5.9 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#123) | -0.15 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#132) | 0.57 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#95) | 0.488 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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