Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | UNT -300 WICH +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -9.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -9.4 (-7.4) | 126.6 (+7.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -8.7 (-6.7) | 130.4 (+3.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -9.3 (-7.3) | 130.5 (+3.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -10.1 (-8.1) | 126.9 (+7.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | WICH 78 – 67 UNT |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UNT 58 – 54 WICH |
| Jan 5, 2024 | UNT 74 – 62 WICH |
| Dec 18, 2021 | UNT 62 – 52 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 17-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#72) | 2.0 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#58) | 0.52 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#61) | 0.50 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#29) | 0.526 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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