Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | RMU -192 PFW +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | RMU -6.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -5.1 (-10.1) | 145.6 (+7.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -5.9 (-10.9) | 141.9 (+11.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -4.6 (-9.6) | 144.5 (+8.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -4.6 (-9.6) | 144.9 (+8.1) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | PFW 83 – 71 RMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RMU 76 – 69 PFW |
| Dec 8, 2024 | PFW 82 – 77 RMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | PFW 78 – 63 RMU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PFW 83 – 65 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#206) | -5.7 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#154) | 0.04 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#150) | -0.57 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#160) | 0.494 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 28.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 38.3% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.5% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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