Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | RMU -145 PFW +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +7 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | RMU -1.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -2.2 (+4.8) | 154.6 (-9.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -1.6 (+5.4) | 151.4 (-6.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -2.9 (+4.1) | 152.1 (-7.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -2.4 (+4.6) | 153.7 (-8.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | PFW 83 – 71 RMU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | PFW 79 – 74 RMU |
| Dec 8, 2024 | PFW 82 – 77 RMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | PFW 78 – 63 RMU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PFW 83 – 65 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 16-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-6 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#160) | 1.4 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#130) | 0.29 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#150) | 0.42 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#142) | 0.523 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 12.8% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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