Purdue Fort Wayne
Mastodons
78
–
63
FINAL
Conference
Barbasol Horizon League
Robert Morris
Colonials
Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | PFW -700 RMU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +15 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | PFW -12.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -12.4 (+2.6) | 151.9 (-10.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -9.7 (+5.3) | 152.4 (-11.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -12.0 (+3.0) | 151.3 (-10.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -11.8 (+3.2) | 151.5 (-10.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | PFW 83 – 71 RMU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | PFW 79 – 74 RMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RMU 76 – 69 PFW |
| Dec 8, 2024 | PFW 82 – 77 RMU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PFW 83 – 65 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 10-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.3 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#147) | -7.4 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#183) | -1.81 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#174) | -2.18 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#216) | 0.426 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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