Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | KC -122 UND +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +2 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | KC -1.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -0.5 (-1.5) | 145.0 (+15.0) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -0.3 (-2.3) | 145.2 (+14.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -0.2 (-2.2) | 143.1 (+16.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UND -0.4 (-1.6) | 145.3 (+14.7) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UND 85 – 70 KC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KC 80 – 69 UND |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UND 76 – 72 KC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | KC 65 – 47 UND |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UND 82 – 69 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 10-6 |
| Home | 3-11 | 9-7 |
| Away | 1-15 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L15 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.8 | 79.6 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#329) | -10.0 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.52 (#340) | -1.50 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.07 (#335) | -2.08 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#346) | 0.435 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 32.8% |
Game Analysis
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