Betting Lines
| Spread | UND -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UND -275 KC +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +18 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | UND -4.0 (-22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-34.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -3.7 (-21.7) | 146.6 (-34.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -3.7 (-21.7) | 144.4 (-32.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -4.5 (-22.5) | 145.0 (-33.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UND -4.0 (-22.0) | 146.9 (-34.9) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UND 85 – 70 KC |
| Jan 11, 2026 | UND 81 – 79 KC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KC 80 – 69 UND |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UND 76 – 72 KC |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UND 82 – 69 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 10-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#255) | -5.2 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#211) | -1.39 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#220) | -1.45 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#240) | 0.426 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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