Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | KC -163 UND +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +13 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | KC -8.1 (-21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -4.0 (-17.0) | 144.9 (+6.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -4.0 (-17.0) | 143.9 (+7.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -4.5 (-17.5) | 143.6 (+7.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KC -4.6 (-17.6) | 143.9 (+7.1) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UND 85 – 70 KC |
| Jan 11, 2026 | UND 81 – 79 KC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KC 80 – 69 UND |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UND 76 – 72 KC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | KC 65 – 47 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 10-6 |
| Home | 10-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#265) | -9.2 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#308) | -1.02 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#282) | -1.43 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#300) | 0.431 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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