Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | KC -150 UND +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | KC -4.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -3.5 (+7.5) | 141.7 (+7.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -3.8 (+7.2) | 142.5 (+6.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -3.7 (+7.3) | 142.3 (+6.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -3.4 (+7.6) | 142.1 (+6.9) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UND 85 – 70 KC |
| Jan 11, 2026 | UND 81 – 79 KC |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UND 76 – 72 KC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | KC 65 – 47 UND |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UND 82 – 69 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-12 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 82.2 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#236) | -6.1 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#308) | -1.31 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#280) | -1.71 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#318) | 0.425 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 57.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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