Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | RICE -105 CLT -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +1 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -2.6 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -2.6 (+1.6) | 142.7 (+4.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -2.2 (+1.2) | 141.1 (+5.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -2.6 (+1.6) | 141.8 (+5.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -3.0 (+2.0) | 144.8 (+2.2) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CLT 80 – 70 RICE |
| Mar 12, 2025 | CLT 64 – 61 RICE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLT 78 – 75 RICE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | RICE 68 – 55 CLT |
| Mar 7, 2024 | CLT 69 – 64 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#260) | -0.4 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#227) | -0.56 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#248) | -0.52 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#255) | 0.475 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 36.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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