The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Rice Owls
73 74
FINAL Conference
Charlotte 49ers
American Conference · Tudor Fieldhouse · January 11, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread CLT -1.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money RICE -105 / CLT -115
Model Predictions
Spread Total RICE win
Actual CLT +1 147 Lost
Massey CLT -2.6 (+1.6)
Massey Totals 144.2 (+2.8)
Bradley-Terry 62%
Weighted B-T 49%
Efficiency Plus ML CLT -2.2 (+1.2) 141.1 (+5.9) 44%
Baseline Tuned ML CLT -2.6 (+1.6) 141.8 (+5.2) 39%
Baseline ML CLT -3.0 (+2.0) 144.8 (+2.2) 39%
Baseline Plus ML CLT -2.6 (+1.6) 142.7 (+4.3) 39%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 CLT 8070 RICE
Mar 12, 2025 CLT 6461 RICE
Feb 8, 2025 CLT 7875 RICE
Jan 4, 2025 RICE 6855 CLT
Mar 7, 2024 CLT 6964 RICE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RICE CLT
Overall 13-18 17-17
Conference 7-11 9-9
Home 8-8 11-6
Away 4-9 4-8
Neutral 1-1 2-3
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak W1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.0 73.0
Avg Pts Against 76.8 74.3
Massey -6.5 (#260) -0.4 (#173)
Bradley-Terry -0.66 (#227) -0.56 (#215)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.21 (#248) -0.52 (#203)
RPI 0.455 (#255) 0.475 (#220)
Shooting & Four Factors RICE CLT
FG% 39.2% 44.3%
3PT% 33.6% 35.2%
REB / G 35.9 35.7
OREB / G 13.1 12.5
AST / TO 0.80 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.0% 52.0%
TOV% 18.4% 17.6%
ORB% 32.9% 36.9%
FT Rate 26.2% 28.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.0% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 15.5%
DRB% 64.8% 69.2%
Opp FT Rate 29.1% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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