Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
Charlotte 49ers
69 – 64
FINAL Conference
Rice Owls
American Conference · Halton Arena · March 7, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CLT -7.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money CLT -350 / RICE +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLT win
Actual CLT +5 133 Won
Massey CLT -10.3 (-5.3) — —
Massey Totals — 134.6 (-1.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 92% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CLT -9.3 (-4.3) 135.9 (-2.9) 82% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLT -8.4 (-3.4) 132.3 (+0.7) 82% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLT -8.5 (-3.5) 133.4 (-0.4) 81% ✓
Baseline ML CLT -9.5 (-4.5) 134.5 (-1.5) 82% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 CLT 80 – 70 RICE
Jan 11, 2026 CLT 74 – 73 RICE
Mar 12, 2025 CLT 64 – 61 RICE
Feb 8, 2025 CLT 78 – 75 RICE
Jan 4, 2025 RICE 68 – 55 CLT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLT RICE
Overall 19-12 11-21
Conference 13-5 5-13
Home 13-2 6-10
Away 5-7 5-7
Neutral 1-3 0-4
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 68.0 71.1
Avg Pts Against 66.3 76.3
Massey 3.8 (#114) -3.2 (#225)
Bradley-Terry 0.81 (#113) -0.67 (#246)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.91 (#116) -0.80 (#245)
RPI 0.556 (#78) 0.482 (#220)
Shooting & Four Factors CLT RICE
FG% 45.3% 43.7%
3PT% 31.7% 33.0%
REB / G 32.1 35.5
OREB / G 8.0 10.4
AST / TO 1.31 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 50.3%
TOV% 15.6% 17.5%
ORB% 25.8% 29.0%
FT Rate 26.1% 20.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.2% 52.6%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 15.1%
DRB% 70.0% 71.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.0% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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