Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CLT -120 RICE +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -1.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -0.8 (+3.8) | 140.9 (+12.1) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -1.2 (+4.2) | 140.8 (+12.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -1.0 (+4.0) | 140.8 (+12.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -1.1 (+4.1) | 142.6 (+10.4) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CLT 80 – 70 RICE |
| Jan 11, 2026 | CLT 74 – 73 RICE |
| Mar 12, 2025 | CLT 64 – 61 RICE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | RICE 68 – 55 CLT |
| Mar 7, 2024 | CLT 69 – 64 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-8 | 7-8 |
| Away | 1-12 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#251) | -0.7 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#273) | -0.22 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#259) | -0.26 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#281) | 0.480 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 33.5% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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