Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | CLT -198 RICE +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -8.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -5.9 (+4.1) | 142.9 (+7.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -7.2 (+2.8) | 141.2 (+8.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -6.3 (+3.7) | 143.1 (+6.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -7.3 (+2.7) | 142.8 (+7.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | CLT 74 – 73 RICE |
| Mar 12, 2025 | CLT 64 – 61 RICE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLT 78 – 75 RICE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | RICE 68 – 55 CLT |
| Mar 7, 2024 | CLT 69 – 64 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#170) | -5.6 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#163) | -0.88 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#168) | -1.26 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#164) | 0.444 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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