I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
Rice Owls
61 – 64
FINAL Neutral Conference American Athletic Conference
Charlotte 49ers
American Conference · The Super Pit (Neutral) · March 12, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread RICE -3.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money RICE -170 / CLT +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total RICE win
Actual CLT +3 125 Lost
Massey RICE -3.8 (-6.8) — —
Massey Totals — 140.8 (-15.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 62% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 65% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RICE -2.0 (-5.0) 139.4 (-14.4) 58% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RICE -2.1 (-5.1) 139.3 (-14.3) 51% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML RICE -2.6 (-5.6) 138.9 (-13.9) 59% ✗
Baseline ML RICE -2.5 (-5.5) 140.4 (-15.4) 59% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 CLT 80 – 70 RICE
Jan 11, 2026 CLT 74 – 73 RICE
Feb 8, 2025 CLT 78 – 75 RICE
Jan 4, 2025 RICE 68 – 55 CLT
Mar 7, 2024 CLT 69 – 64 RICE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RICE CLT
Overall 13-19 11-22
Conference 4-14 3-15
Home 7-8 8-8
Away 4-8 1-12
Neutral 2-3 2-2
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 70.4 70.2
Avg Pts Against 70.3 75.0
Massey -1.6 (#188) -5.4 (#252)
Bradley-Terry -0.71 (#238) -1.18 (#279)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.68 (#221) -1.30 (#269)
RPI 0.455 (#271) 0.436 (#306)
Shooting & Four Factors RICE CLT
FG% 42.1% 42.3%
3PT% 33.7% 31.4%
REB / G 38.3 31.0
OREB / G 12.3 8.7
AST / TO 1.01 1.20
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 48.7%
TOV% 17.9% 15.0%
ORB% 33.8% 25.5%
FT Rate 29.7% 31.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.9% 54.7%
Opp TOV% 14.0% 14.8%
DRB% 70.1% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 24.8% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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