Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
Rice Owls
68 – 55
FINAL Conference
Charlotte 49ers
American Conference · Tudor Fieldhouse · January 4, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread RICE -3.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money RICE -190 / CLT +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total RICE win
Actual RICE +13 123 Won
Massey RICE -8.6 (+4.4) — —
Massey Totals — 140.1 (-17.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RICE -6.7 (+6.3) 139.7 (-16.7) 76% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RICE -5.4 (+7.6) 138.8 (-15.8) 75% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RICE -6.8 (+6.2) 138.8 (-15.8) 77% ✓
Baseline ML RICE -6.5 (+6.5) 139.3 (-16.3) 75% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 CLT 80 – 70 RICE
Jan 11, 2026 CLT 74 – 73 RICE
Mar 12, 2025 CLT 64 – 61 RICE
Feb 8, 2025 CLT 78 – 75 RICE
Mar 7, 2024 CLT 69 – 64 RICE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RICE CLT
Overall 13-19 11-22
Conference 4-14 3-15
Home 7-8 8-8
Away 4-8 1-12
Neutral 2-3 2-2
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 70.4 70.2
Avg Pts Against 70.3 75.0
Massey -0.5 (#169) -5.0 (#257)
Bradley-Terry 0.58 (#126) -1.05 (#265)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.58 (#132) -1.31 (#256)
RPI 0.493 (#180) 0.447 (#274)
Shooting & Four Factors RICE CLT
FG% 42.4% 42.4%
3PT% 32.1% 28.7%
REB / G 40.2 32.5
OREB / G 12.5 9.2
AST / TO 0.85 1.24
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 47.7%
TOV% 20.2% 14.1%
ORB% 34.7% 27.2%
FT Rate 33.8% 38.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.5% 52.2%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 14.0%
DRB% 70.6% 68.8%
Opp FT Rate 25.0% 24.8%

Game Analysis

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