Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | ECU +275 UAB -345 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +2 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -11.8 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -9.9 (+7.9) | 144.9 (+27.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -10.1 (+8.1) | 144.4 (+27.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -9.7 (+7.7) | 145.9 (+26.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -10.7 (+8.7) | 146.1 (+25.9) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UAB 90 – 83 ECU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UAB 94 – 77 ECU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | ECU 82 – 75 UAB |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UAB 69 – 61 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-10 | 8-9 |
| Away | 4-8 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#313) | 5.4 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#278) | 0.20 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#296) | 0.51 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#222) | 0.487 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 25.8% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 40.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 13.0% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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