Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -200 ECU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +8 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -4.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -5.9 (+2.1) | 141.8 (-11.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -3.6 (+4.4) | 141.9 (-11.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -3.5 (+4.5) | 142.7 (-12.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -3.8 (+4.2) | 143.4 (-13.4) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UAB 90 – 83 ECU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | UAB 87 – 85 ECU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UAB 94 – 77 ECU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | ECU 82 – 75 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-9 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#171) | -1.3 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#112) | -0.51 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#132) | -0.45 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#108) | 0.463 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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