Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | HAW -218 UCI +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +1 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -8.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -7.1 (-6.1) | 138.1 (-5.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -4.8 (-3.8) | 138.6 (-5.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -7.1 (-6.1) | 134.4 (-1.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -7.2 (-6.2) | 135.6 (-2.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | HAW 71 – 64 UCI |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UCI 87 – 76 HAW |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UCI 66 – 49 HAW |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCI 71 – 55 HAW |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UCI 93 – 68 HAW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 16-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#81) | 2.3 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#109) | 0.61 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#97) | 0.75 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#175) | 0.527 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 33.0% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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