Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | HAW +175 UCI -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +17 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -7.3 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -5.2 (-11.8) | 137.7 (-22.7) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -5.7 (-11.3) | 137.7 (-22.7) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -5.8 (-11.2) | 136.7 (-21.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -5.7 (-11.3) | 138.0 (-23.0) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | HAW 71 – 64 UCI |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UCI 87 – 76 HAW |
| Jan 11, 2026 | HAW 67 – 66 UCI |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCI 71 – 55 HAW |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UCI 93 – 68 HAW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 32-7 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 17-3 |
| Home | 13-7 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 14-3 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#194) | 8.6 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#182) | 2.24 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#187) | 2.32 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#211) | 0.605 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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