Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -120 HAW +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +7 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -0.4 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -0.5 (-7.5) | 142.4 (-7.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -1.4 (-8.4) | 143.4 (-8.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -0.4 (-7.4) | 138.2 (-3.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -0.6 (-7.6) | 140.8 (-5.8) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | UCI 87 – 76 HAW |
| Jan 11, 2026 | HAW 67 – 66 UCI |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UCI 66 – 49 HAW |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCI 71 – 55 HAW |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UCI 93 – 68 HAW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-5 | 16-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 78.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#107) | 4.3 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#107) | 0.76 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#109) | 0.68 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#67) | 0.515 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 32.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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