And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · January 11, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -14.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money CBU -1350 / SUU +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual CBU +3 113 Won
Massey CBU -19.4 (-16.4) — —
Massey Totals — 148.7 (-35.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 98% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CBU -14.4 (-11.4) 144.2 (-31.2) 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -14.3 (-11.3) 145.1 (-32.1) 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -14.1 (-11.1) 144.4 (-31.4) 89% ✓
Baseline ML CBU -14.3 (-11.3) 145.0 (-32.0) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 CBU 82 – 75 SUU
Feb 13, 2026 CBU 83 – 66 SUU
Feb 7, 2025 SUU 60 – 57 CBU
Jan 26, 2025 CBU 76 – 60 SUU
Jan 21, 2024 CBU 83 – 76 SUU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU SUU
Overall 25-9 10-22
Conference 13-5 6-12
Home 15-0 7-6
Away 7-8 2-15
Neutral 3-1 1-1
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 72.6 72.3
Avg Pts Against 67.6 81.3
Massey 1.8 (#140) -14.2 (#346)
Bradley-Terry 0.92 (#97) -2.44 (#338)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.07 (#104) -3.35 (#342)
RPI 0.535 (#107) 0.387 (#345)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU SUU
FG% 44.3% 42.4%
3PT% 31.3% 28.6%
REB / G 39.9 32.2
OREB / G 14.4 9.5
AST / TO 0.84 0.85
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 47.4%
TOV% 19.6% 19.6%
ORB% 40.0% 25.4%
FT Rate 26.8% 18.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.7% 58.0%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 15.1%
DRB% 74.2% 66.9%
Opp FT Rate 28.8% 19.2%

Game Analysis

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