Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · February 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -12.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money CBU -1200 / SUU +700
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual SUU +3 117 Lost
Massey CBU -10.7 (-13.7)
Massey Totals 144.2 (-27.2)
Bradley-Terry 85%
Weighted B-T 89%
Efficiency Plus ML CBU -9.5 (-12.5) 139.8 (-22.8) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -9.5 (-12.5) 137.9 (-20.9) 83%
Baseline ML CBU -9.5 (-12.5) 137.2 (-20.2) 84%
Baseline Plus ML CBU -10.6 (-13.6) 138.7 (-21.7) 84%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 CBU 8275 SUU
Feb 13, 2026 CBU 8366 SUU
Jan 11, 2026 CBU 5855 SUU
Jan 26, 2025 CBU 7660 SUU
Jan 21, 2024 CBU 8376 SUU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU SUU
Overall 17-15 12-19
Conference 9-7 4-12
Home 11-5 8-7
Away 4-8 3-11
Neutral 2-2 1-1
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 71.2 66.8
Avg Pts Against 70.0 75.3
Massey 0.2 (#157) -7.3 (#282)
Bradley-Terry -0.04 (#180) -1.23 (#276)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.07 (#179) -1.47 (#275)
RPI 0.496 (#185) 0.428 (#306)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU SUU
FG% 43.5% 43.4%
3PT% 30.0% 31.0%
REB / G 36.7 33.8
OREB / G 12.3 9.4
AST / TO 1.07 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.9% 48.7%
TOV% 16.5% 21.7%
ORB% 33.7% 28.6%
FT Rate 22.8% 26.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.5% 49.6%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 15.2%
DRB% 71.4% 66.0%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 21.4%

Game Analysis

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