We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · February 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -12.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money CBU -1200 / SUU +700
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual SUU +3 117 Lost
Massey CBU -10.7 (-13.7) — —
Massey Totals — 144.2 (-27.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 85% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 89% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CBU -10.6 (-13.6) 138.7 (-21.7) 84% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -9.5 (-12.5) 139.8 (-22.8) 83% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -9.5 (-12.5) 137.9 (-20.9) 83% ✗
Baseline ML CBU -9.5 (-12.5) 137.2 (-20.2) 84% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 CBU 82 – 75 SUU
Feb 13, 2026 CBU 83 – 66 SUU
Jan 11, 2026 CBU 58 – 55 SUU
Jan 26, 2025 CBU 76 – 60 SUU
Jan 21, 2024 CBU 83 – 76 SUU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU SUU
Overall 17-15 12-19
Conference 9-7 4-12
Home 11-5 8-7
Away 4-8 3-11
Neutral 2-2 1-1
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 71.2 66.8
Avg Pts Against 70.0 75.3
Massey 0.2 (#157) -7.3 (#282)
Bradley-Terry -0.04 (#180) -1.23 (#276)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.07 (#179) -1.47 (#275)
RPI 0.496 (#185) 0.428 (#306)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU SUU
FG% 43.5% 43.4%
3PT% 30.0% 31.0%
REB / G 36.7 33.8
OREB / G 12.3 9.4
AST / TO 1.07 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.9% 48.7%
TOV% 16.5% 21.7%
ORB% 33.7% 28.6%
FT Rate 22.8% 26.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.5% 49.6%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 15.2%
DRB% 71.4% 66.0%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 21.4%

Game Analysis

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