Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · January 21, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -8.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money CBU -400 / SUU +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual CBU +7 159 Won
Massey CBU -7.6 (-0.6)
Massey Totals 144.8 (+14.2)
Bradley-Terry 84%
Weighted B-T 86%
Efficiency Plus ML CBU -5.1 (+1.9) 139.4 (+19.6) 69%
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -5.0 (+2.0) 141.0 (+18.0) 72%
Baseline ML CBU -5.1 (+1.9) 141.1 (+17.9) 67%
Baseline Plus ML CBU -5.1 (+1.9) 140.9 (+18.1) 69%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 CBU 8275 SUU
Feb 13, 2026 CBU 8366 SUU
Jan 11, 2026 CBU 5855 SUU
Feb 7, 2025 SUU 6057 CBU
Jan 26, 2025 CBU 7660 SUU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU SUU
Overall 16-17 10-21
Conference 8-12 5-15
Home 11-7 6-8
Away 4-9 3-13
Neutral 1-1 1-0
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 W1
Avg Pts For 67.1 73.2
Avg Pts Against 67.1 77.8
Massey -0.1 (#166) -4.0 (#242)
Bradley-Terry -0.31 (#201) -1.29 (#289)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.12 (#180) -1.16 (#265)
RPI 0.464 (#242) 0.430 (#291)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU SUU
FG% 41.3% 41.8%
3PT% 30.8% 28.9%
REB / G 37.4 33.1
OREB / G 12.7 10.9
AST / TO 0.88 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.8% 47.3%
TOV% 17.4% 16.0%
ORB% 34.2% 28.9%
FT Rate 25.4% 27.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.5% 54.8%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 17.2%
DRB% 74.5% 68.2%
Opp FT Rate 21.5% 22.6%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.