I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · January 21, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -8.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money CBU -400 / SUU +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual CBU +7 159 Won
Massey CBU -7.6 (-0.6) — —
Massey Totals — 144.8 (+14.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 84% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 86% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CBU -5.1 (+1.9) 140.9 (+18.1) 69% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -5.1 (+1.9) 139.4 (+19.6) 69% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -5.0 (+2.0) 141.0 (+18.0) 72% ✓
Baseline ML CBU -5.1 (+1.9) 141.1 (+17.9) 67% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 CBU 82 – 75 SUU
Feb 13, 2026 CBU 83 – 66 SUU
Jan 11, 2026 CBU 58 – 55 SUU
Feb 7, 2025 SUU 60 – 57 CBU
Jan 26, 2025 CBU 76 – 60 SUU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU SUU
Overall 16-17 10-21
Conference 8-12 5-15
Home 11-7 6-8
Away 4-9 3-13
Neutral 1-1 1-0
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 W1
Avg Pts For 67.1 73.2
Avg Pts Against 67.1 77.8
Massey -0.1 (#166) -4.0 (#242)
Bradley-Terry -0.31 (#201) -1.29 (#289)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.12 (#180) -1.16 (#265)
RPI 0.464 (#242) 0.430 (#291)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU SUU
FG% 41.3% 41.8%
3PT% 30.8% 28.9%
REB / G 37.4 33.1
OREB / G 12.7 10.9
AST / TO 0.88 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.8% 47.3%
TOV% 17.4% 16.0%
ORB% 34.2% 28.9%
FT Rate 25.4% 27.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.5% 54.8%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 17.2%
DRB% 74.5% 68.2%
Opp FT Rate 21.5% 22.6%

Game Analysis

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